M44: PS4 non-moneyline replay, páros joint kontrollal
Point-in-time, paper-only. Exact UTC-nap + rendezetlen csapatpár,
ütközésnél fail-closed. Mindkét kar ugyanazt a 5 eseményt és
30 kickoff előtti quote-sort látja. M8 esemény/piac deduplikált,
M11 minden érték-sort megtart. A CI eseményklaszteres; Poly fee és accepted fill nincs.
| stratégia | árforrás | piac | esemény | bet |
ROI/u | CI90 | CLV | CI90 |
|---|
| M8 | ps4 | map_winner | 4 | 4 | -39.0% | [-100.0%; +82.9%] | +1.5% | [-3.3%; +9.6%] |
| M8 | ps4 | map_handicap | 1 | 1 | +70.9% | — | +6.8% | — |
| M8 | ps4 | total_maps | 2 | 2 | -100.0% | [-100.0%; -100.0%] | -5.1% | [-10.3%; +0.0%] |
| M8 | joint | map_winner | 5 | 5 | -51.2% | [-100.0%; +46.3%] | +1.7% | [-1.4%; +5.2%] |
| M8 | joint | map_handicap | 3 | 3 | -43.0% | [-100.0%; +14.0%] | +25.4% | [+7.9%; +42.9%] |
| M8 | joint | total_maps | 2 | 2 | -100.0% | [-100.0%; -100.0%] | -5.1% | [-10.3%; +0.0%] |
| M11 | ps4 | map_winner | 4 | 7 | +5.2% | [-48.1%; +25.9%] | -1.3% | [-5.8%; +4.1%] |
| M11 | ps4 | map_handicap | 1 | 1 | +70.9% | — | +6.8% | — |
| M11 | ps4 | total_maps | 2 | 2 | -100.0% | [-100.0%; -100.0%] | -5.1% | [-10.3%; +0.0%] |
| M11 | joint | map_winner | 5 | 9 | -35.7% | [-77.0%; -1.6%] | +0.3% | [-2.5%; +2.6%] |
| M11 | joint | map_handicap | 3 | 3 | -43.0% | [-100.0%; +14.0%] | +25.4% | [+7.9%; +42.9%] |
| M11 | joint | total_maps | 2 | 2 | -100.0% | [-100.0%; -100.0%] | -5.1% | [-10.3%; +0.0%] |
A teljes 0,06/0,10/0,17 rács a CSV-ben van. A PS4 kar csak akkor tekinthető
jobbnak, ha a páros kontrollnál stabilabban teljesít; egy pontbecslés nem promotion.