E.1.20 négykarú replay

E.1.20 - négy ár, azonos esemény és quote

Shadow, promotion nincs. Közös esemény: 257 / 958. Az edge=0,10 nézet látszik lent; minden edge és fogadás a CSV-ben van. Az M1 a deployed Plattot használja, a három PS4-kar nem kap második kalibrátort. A Poly nettó oszlop csak 1,8% × stake díj-szcenárió. Accepted fill nincs naplózva, minden sor quote-only. Az intervallumok eseményklaszteres bootstrapből készülnek; a favourite/underdog előre deklarált réteg.

kar	réteg	könyv	n	gross ROI	nettó szcenárió	nettó esemény-CI90	CLV	max DD
live_joint	both	Polymarket	50	+41.8%	+40.0%	[0.15721399843050263, 0.6602037864696302]	+0.329	$-359
live_joint	both	Tippmix	38	-18.2%	-18.2%	[-0.5558358567660269, 0.2224218168527336]	-0.162	$-780
live_joint	favourite	Polymarket	39	+44.9%	+43.1%	[0.1760978697535851, 0.662236226784332]	+0.408	$-233
live_joint	favourite	Tippmix	14	-14.7%	-14.7%	[-0.5906661854485947, 0.36775303375536794]	-0.063	$-358
live_joint	underdog	Polymarket	11	+20.3%	+18.5%	[-0.6870482819915849, 1.1731502322886622]	+0.050	$-259
live_joint	underdog	Tippmix	24	-21.9%	-21.9%	[-0.7877902496997219, 0.3973165015212976]	-0.224	$-678
ps4_last_played	both	Polymarket	104	+16.6%	+14.8%	[-0.037385740674836195, 0.3208544010605141]	+0.185	$-1,243
ps4_last_played	both	Tippmix	108	-5.0%	-5.0%	[-0.24016946984898663, 0.1485856170699112]	-0.160	$-1,174
ps4_last_played	favourite	Polymarket	67	+29.9%	+28.1%	[0.08771460164351158, 0.46639916321825176]	+0.298	$-364
ps4_last_played	favourite	Tippmix	48	-12.1%	-12.1%	[-0.32583870165742007, 0.08277341380947102]	-0.057	$-1,164
ps4_last_played	underdog	Polymarket	37	-25.0%	-26.8%	[-0.6570471468901827, 0.1435777602365491]	-0.018	$-1,161
ps4_last_played	underdog	Tippmix	60	+4.9%	+4.9%	[-0.30819092246095486, 0.39802264406077326]	-0.246	$-1,076
ps4_mixture	both	Polymarket	102	+18.4%	+16.6%	[-0.012491035542985123, 0.3395453872060169]	+0.194	$-1,181
ps4_mixture	both	Tippmix	105	-3.2%	-3.2%	[-0.22647364110728627, 0.171472349925284]	-0.160	$-1,171
ps4_mixture	favourite	Polymarket	67	+29.9%	+28.1%	[0.09133661940939161, 0.46645563964833703]	+0.303	$-361
ps4_mixture	favourite	Tippmix	46	-5.8%	-5.8%	[-0.27296269786760896, 0.14481228795219775]	-0.060	$-828
ps4_mixture	underdog	Polymarket	35	-20.1%	-21.9%	[-0.6346431751556944, 0.19073476623877533]	-0.015	$-1,103
ps4_mixture	underdog	Tippmix	59	+0.2%	+0.2%	[-0.3496232361084861, 0.35812516314634596]	-0.244	$-1,080
ps4_top1	both	Polymarket	104	+18.5%	+16.7%	[-0.01871415659999847, 0.33683318827181946]	+0.193	$-1,243
ps4_top1	both	Tippmix	107	-3.2%	-3.2%	[-0.2287419510609047, 0.1663120786944169]	-0.160	$-1,174
ps4_top1	favourite	Polymarket	68	+30.9%	+29.1%	[0.09842734654006635, 0.4740036497808482]	+0.305	$-364
ps4_top1	favourite	Tippmix	47	-9.5%	-9.5%	[-0.30297999564265843, 0.11245278231204354]	-0.053	$-1,020
ps4_top1	underdog	Polymarket	36	-22.2%	-24.0%	[-0.6387286704273984, 0.1698069677473814]	-0.017	$-1,161
ps4_top1	underdog	Tippmix	60	+5.4%	+5.4%	[-0.3052482952067984, 0.4088781783165097]	-0.247	$-1,076

kar

réteg

könyv

gross ROI

nettó szcenárió

nettó esemény-CI90

CLV

max DD

live_joint

both

Polymarket

+41.8%

+40.0%

[0.15721399843050263, 0.6602037864696302]

+0.329

$-359

live_joint

both

Tippmix

-18.2%

[-0.5558358567660269, 0.2224218168527336]

-0.162

$-780

live_joint

favourite

Polymarket

+44.9%

+43.1%

[0.1760978697535851, 0.662236226784332]

+0.408

$-233

live_joint

favourite

Tippmix

-14.7%

[-0.5906661854485947, 0.36775303375536794]

-0.063

$-358

live_joint

underdog

Polymarket

+20.3%

+18.5%

[-0.6870482819915849, 1.1731502322886622]

+0.050

$-259

live_joint

underdog

Tippmix

-21.9%

[-0.7877902496997219, 0.3973165015212976]

-0.224

$-678

ps4_last_played

both

Polymarket

104

+16.6%

+14.8%

[-0.037385740674836195, 0.3208544010605141]

+0.185

$-1,243

ps4_last_played

both

Tippmix

108

-5.0%

[-0.24016946984898663, 0.1485856170699112]

-0.160

$-1,174

ps4_last_played

favourite

Polymarket

+29.9%

+28.1%

[0.08771460164351158, 0.46639916321825176]

+0.298

$-364

ps4_last_played

favourite

Tippmix

-12.1%

[-0.32583870165742007, 0.08277341380947102]

-0.057

$-1,164

ps4_last_played

underdog

Polymarket

-25.0%

-26.8%

[-0.6570471468901827, 0.1435777602365491]

-0.018

$-1,161

ps4_last_played

underdog

Tippmix

+4.9%

[-0.30819092246095486, 0.39802264406077326]

-0.246

$-1,076

ps4_mixture

both

Polymarket

102

+18.4%

+16.6%

[-0.012491035542985123, 0.3395453872060169]

+0.194

$-1,181

ps4_mixture

both

Tippmix

105

-3.2%

[-0.22647364110728627, 0.171472349925284]

-0.160

$-1,171

ps4_mixture

favourite

Polymarket

+29.9%

+28.1%

[0.09133661940939161, 0.46645563964833703]

+0.303

$-361

ps4_mixture

favourite

Tippmix

-5.8%

[-0.27296269786760896, 0.14481228795219775]

-0.060

$-828

ps4_mixture

underdog

Polymarket

-20.1%

-21.9%

[-0.6346431751556944, 0.19073476623877533]

-0.015

$-1,103

ps4_mixture

underdog

Tippmix

+0.2%

[-0.3496232361084861, 0.35812516314634596]

-0.244

$-1,080

ps4_top1

both

Polymarket

104

+18.5%

+16.7%

[-0.01871415659999847, 0.33683318827181946]

+0.193

$-1,243

ps4_top1

both

Tippmix

107

-3.2%

[-0.2287419510609047, 0.1663120786944169]

-0.160

$-1,174

ps4_top1

favourite

Polymarket

+30.9%

+29.1%

[0.09842734654006635, 0.4740036497808482]

+0.305

$-364

ps4_top1

favourite

Tippmix

-9.5%

[-0.30297999564265843, 0.11245278231204354]

-0.053

$-1,020

ps4_top1

underdog

Polymarket

-22.2%

-24.0%

[-0.6387286704273984, 0.1698069677473814]

-0.017

$-1,161

ps4_top1

underdog

Tippmix

+5.4%

[-0.3052482952067984, 0.4088781783165097]

-0.247

$-1,076