E.1.20 négykarú replay

E.1.20 - négy ár, azonos esemény és quote

Shadow, promotion nincs. Közös esemény: 256 / 952. Az edge=0,10 nézet látszik lent; minden edge és fogadás a CSV-ben van. Az M1 a deployed Plattot használja, a három PS4-kar nem kap második kalibrátort. A Poly nettó oszlop csak 1,8% × stake díj-szcenárió. Accepted fill nincs naplózva, minden sor quote-only. Az intervallumok eseményklaszteres bootstrapből készülnek; a favourite/underdog előre deklarált réteg.

kar	réteg	könyv	n	gross ROI	nettó szcenárió	nettó esemény-CI90	CLV	max DD
live_joint	both	Polymarket	50	+41.6%	+39.8%	[0.15618062020502235, 0.6583553480491469]	+0.329	$-359
live_joint	both	Tippmix	37	-23.3%	-23.3%	[-0.5907185604090283, 0.16559577149861085]	-0.162	$-866
live_joint	favourite	Polymarket	39	+44.8%	+43.0%	[0.17418777012562883, 0.6609360716023601]	+0.408	$-233
live_joint	favourite	Tippmix	13	-24.6%	-24.6%	[-0.6989357126206233, 0.21832656863734656]	-0.063	$-387
live_joint	underdog	Polymarket	11	+19.9%	+18.1%	[-0.685082536262012, 1.1714860486746241]	+0.050	$-259
live_joint	underdog	Tippmix	24	-22.0%	-22.0%	[-0.7881084889015352, 0.3950145649700351]	-0.224	$-681
ps4_last_played	both	Polymarket	103	+22.9%	+21.1%	[0.022129797234344564, 0.3810307792962896]	+0.191	$-1,017
ps4_last_played	both	Tippmix	112	-1.6%	-1.6%	[-0.2036817927196772, 0.19155013623213615]	-0.165	$-1,001
ps4_last_played	favourite	Polymarket	65	+34.5%	+32.7%	[0.13836824769699163, 0.5076485688354242]	+0.313	$-255
ps4_last_played	favourite	Tippmix	49	-16.2%	-16.2%	[-0.3575201471369441, 0.04168629369090206]	-0.058	$-1,157
ps4_last_played	underdog	Polymarket	38	-11.2%	-13.0%	[-0.5499809187362821, 0.33987055299643243]	-0.018	$-1,123
ps4_last_played	underdog	Tippmix	63	+18.0%	+18.0%	[-0.1690865857212326, 0.5370261789121538]	-0.256	$-963
ps4_mixture	both	Polymarket	103	+22.9%	+21.1%	[0.029074584898184232, 0.381887677643132]	+0.191	$-1,015
ps4_mixture	both	Tippmix	109	-3.6%	-3.6%	[-0.2351360557180624, 0.18019521066643385]	-0.168	$-1,054
ps4_mixture	favourite	Polymarket	66	+32.9%	+31.1%	[0.12584413721479829, 0.4959842416180981]	+0.309	$-296
ps4_mixture	favourite	Tippmix	47	-10.4%	-10.4%	[-0.3169875048392939, 0.10177319049288448]	-0.061	$-888
ps4_mixture	underdog	Polymarket	37	-8.0%	-9.8%	[-0.5283912499341707, 0.3797642913486697]	-0.017	$-1,125
ps4_mixture	underdog	Tippmix	62	+5.2%	+5.2%	[-0.288395877701438, 0.42806126657949567]	-0.258	$-1,093
ps4_top1	both	Polymarket	104	+23.5%	+21.7%	[0.041717026576487744, 0.39893064856337496]	+0.194	$-1,017
ps4_top1	both	Tippmix	111	+0.1%	+0.1%	[-0.19218030074492692, 0.20080271799830335]	-0.165	$-984
ps4_top1	favourite	Polymarket	67	+33.8%	+32.0%	[0.1384557572735906, 0.49623243253352023]	+0.310	$-294
ps4_top1	favourite	Tippmix	48	-13.8%	-13.8%	[-0.33798237157302163, 0.06720833810288067]	-0.054	$-1,014
ps4_top1	underdog	Polymarket	37	-8.3%	-10.1%	[-0.5303730454033473, 0.3774083929045118]	-0.017	$-1,123
ps4_top1	underdog	Tippmix	63	+18.3%	+18.3%	[-0.17370702893070245, 0.5497748448505183]	-0.257	$-963

kar

réteg

könyv

gross ROI

nettó szcenárió

nettó esemény-CI90

CLV

max DD

live_joint

both

Polymarket

+41.6%

+39.8%

[0.15618062020502235, 0.6583553480491469]

+0.329

$-359

live_joint

both

Tippmix

-23.3%

[-0.5907185604090283, 0.16559577149861085]

-0.162

$-866

live_joint

favourite

Polymarket

+44.8%

+43.0%

[0.17418777012562883, 0.6609360716023601]

+0.408

$-233

live_joint

favourite

Tippmix

-24.6%

[-0.6989357126206233, 0.21832656863734656]

-0.063

$-387

live_joint

underdog

Polymarket

+19.9%

+18.1%

[-0.685082536262012, 1.1714860486746241]

+0.050

$-259

live_joint

underdog

Tippmix

-22.0%

[-0.7881084889015352, 0.3950145649700351]

-0.224

$-681

ps4_last_played

both

Polymarket

103

+22.9%

+21.1%

[0.022129797234344564, 0.3810307792962896]

+0.191

$-1,017

ps4_last_played

both

Tippmix

112

-1.6%

[-0.2036817927196772, 0.19155013623213615]

-0.165

$-1,001

ps4_last_played

favourite

Polymarket

+34.5%

+32.7%

[0.13836824769699163, 0.5076485688354242]

+0.313

$-255

ps4_last_played

favourite

Tippmix

-16.2%

[-0.3575201471369441, 0.04168629369090206]

-0.058

$-1,157

ps4_last_played

underdog

Polymarket

-11.2%

-13.0%

[-0.5499809187362821, 0.33987055299643243]

-0.018

$-1,123

ps4_last_played

underdog

Tippmix

+18.0%

[-0.1690865857212326, 0.5370261789121538]

-0.256

$-963

ps4_mixture

both

Polymarket

103

+22.9%

+21.1%

[0.029074584898184232, 0.381887677643132]

+0.191

$-1,015

ps4_mixture

both

Tippmix

109

-3.6%

[-0.2351360557180624, 0.18019521066643385]

-0.168

$-1,054

ps4_mixture

favourite

Polymarket

+32.9%

+31.1%

[0.12584413721479829, 0.4959842416180981]

+0.309

$-296

ps4_mixture

favourite

Tippmix

-10.4%

[-0.3169875048392939, 0.10177319049288448]

-0.061

$-888

ps4_mixture

underdog

Polymarket

-8.0%

-9.8%

[-0.5283912499341707, 0.3797642913486697]

-0.017

$-1,125

ps4_mixture

underdog

Tippmix

+5.2%

[-0.288395877701438, 0.42806126657949567]

-0.258

$-1,093

ps4_top1

both

Polymarket

104

+23.5%

+21.7%

[0.041717026576487744, 0.39893064856337496]

+0.194

$-1,017

ps4_top1

both

Tippmix

111

+0.1%

[-0.19218030074492692, 0.20080271799830335]

-0.165

$-984

ps4_top1

favourite

Polymarket

+33.8%

+32.0%

[0.1384557572735906, 0.49623243253352023]

+0.310

$-294

ps4_top1

favourite

Tippmix

-13.8%

[-0.33798237157302163, 0.06720833810288067]

-0.054

$-1,014

ps4_top1

underdog

Polymarket

-8.3%

-10.1%

[-0.5303730454033473, 0.3774083929045118]

-0.017

$-1,123

ps4_top1

underdog

Tippmix

+18.3%

[-0.17370702893070245, 0.5497748448505183]

-0.257

$-963